10/16/2009

NFL Week 6 Picks

I know I suck, but I've been busy (read: lazy). Anyway, to business. There are, in my opinion, 8 just absolutely awful teams that make me wish the NFL were run like Premier League soccer (with the worst couple teams being relegated to the lower division, replaced by the top couple teams in the lower division - in this case, the CFL... maybe? oh wait, the UFL! problem solved! I'm only half serious, more coming later). These 8 teams - Kansas City, Oakland, Cleveland, Buffalo, St. Louis, Tampa Bay, Washington, and Detroit - will probably only collect wins against each other this year. Combined, they are 6-34. If you don't count games that they played each other, they are collectively 0-28! That's absurd. Even more absurd is the duel to the death between JaMarcus Russell and Derek Anderson to see who can set the all time record for worst QB rating in one season. Until last week, it didn't look like much of a contest until Anderson put up the following gem - 2-17, 23 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT. By the way, THEY WON THE GAME 6-3 over the Bills! That's how bad these teams are... ok, I'm done.

Back to the relegation idea, I don't see how this wouldn't improve the NFL. If the 4 teams in the UFL were absorbed into the NFL (so that they received picks 1-4 in the draft, as they would be the worst 4 teams - I assume no one would argue with that), you could relegate the bottom 2 teams to the UFL and move up the 2 teams that made the championship. This would help the NFL in a number of reasons. First off, not only would you have the playoff race at the end of the year, you would also have the bottom dwellers trying desperately to get out of the bottom 2 so that they play in front of NFL crowds next year and not CMU flag football crowds. This, in turn, would force the terrible ownership in the league - Cleveland, Oakland, and Detroit most notably - to hire GMs that are worth something because if the team is terrible year in and year out, they won't stay in the NFL and therefore won't make any money. I can't think of a better motivator than money. Finally, Vegas gets a chance to see if they can support a professional team, although I'm not sure if you want a pro team that close to the gambling capital of the country. That being said, I wish that this would happen to the MLB and NBA much more than I wish for this to happen in the NFL, but that's another issue altogether.

Now, without further ado, on to the picks!

You can see in the sidebar the standings for the year (although this is only 2 weeks...).

Browns (+15) at Steelers
Well, you already know how I feel about the Browns. They're terrible. Please keep in mind that Derek Anderson came in, in the second half of the game in week 3, threw 3 interceptions and won the starting job from there on out. I'm lost for words, the only team with a worse QB is Oakland, but the detestable duo of Anderson and Quinn is giving them a run for their money. In other news, Roethlisberger is throwing a ton this year and I actually hope that Mendenhall has stolen the starting job from Fast (but only when I'm in the open with no one around me, otherwise I tip-toe and move in slow motion) Willie Parker at RB. Polamalu is going to play Sunday with a brace on his knee, but the defense suffered what will probably turn out to be just as big of a blow with the loss of Aaron Smith for the year. Regardless, the Steelers own the Browns and I'd like to think this is the week we see the Steelers of old (after someone tells them there wasn't a rule change, there are still 4 quarters, not 3). I'll take the Steelers.
Will - Browns
Lauren - Steelers

Giants (+3) at Saints
I hear Plantar Fascitis is no joke, combine that with the fact that Eli always looks like he's about to cry (I had to get my shot in somehow, right?) and you get potential problems at QB. Drew Brees shows no signs of slowing down, which leads me to believe that this could turn into a shootout. I think that a shootout favors the Saints, since they have the best QB in the league and have shown that they are for real. That being said, we are talking about a Giants team that can tire out the scoreboard operator too, so this should come down to which defense can get a timely stop in the fourth quarter. I say it's the Saints.
Will - Saints
Lauren - Giants

Cardinals (+3) at Seahawks
Well, here's a matchup of 2 teams that are pretty much never televised on the East coast. If Will weren't one of the people that I'm picking against, I would not have chosen this game (that gives you an idea of how exciting I think this game will be). I see the Seahawks as wildly inconsistent, they live and die by the health of Hasselbeck, which should tell you either how good he is or how bad Seneca Wallace is. As far as I can tell, the Cardinals have not played a game that would really indicate where they stand. Their wins came against the Texans and Jaguars, while their losses came against the Colts (who make a strong argument for being the best team in the league) and the 49ers (who lost last week to a good Falcons team while not having Frank Gore). I guess what I'm trying to say is, I don't believe any team in the NFC West is any good and I'd like to see one of them beat a winning team outside of their division before I begin to take one of them seriously (keep in mind that this is the same Cardinals team that was in the Superbowl last year...). I'll take the Cardinals and the points.
Will - Cardinals
Lauren - Cardinals

Ravens (+3) at Vikings
A battle of 2 teams with purple as their primary color. Now a relevant and potentially inciteful thought, Ray (I'm a violent dirty player that may have murdered a man, but that's ok because I'm a man of God) Lewis and the rest of the defense need to stop taking stupid penalties in the worst possible situations if they want to at least repeat what they did last year. Both of these teams are very good and this will be a hard-hitting, well played, and exciting football game. I don't see this being high scoring only because both of these defenses are more stifling than the offenses are explosive. Who would have thought that Favre would have been able to come back this year and have a repeat of the beginning of last year? Not this guy, although it may have something to do with not reporting a biceps tear that prevented him from throwing the ball further than about 5 yards, but whatever. Also, Joe "the Flying Unibrow" Flacco is orchestrating a now surprisingly frisky offense that has shown flashes with some big plays and big games from Flacco. Now let's see if they can keep it up for the year or if the first few weeks were just a result of taking opposing defensive coordinators by surprise. I'll take the Vikings.
Will - Vikings
Lauren - Vikings

Bears (+3) at Falcons
After starting off a little slow against the Packers, the Bears have come back and are looking pretty good, but so are the Falcons. This will be a good game with 2 teams that seem to be hitting their mid-season stride facing off in Atlanta (think Falcons fans still miss Michael Vick?). Michael Turner is finally playing like the Michael Turner of last year, which makes the Falcons dangerous through the ground and air (especially with the addition of Tony Gonzalez in the off season). Not much insight on this game, but I'll take the Falcons for the reason that I'd rather not pick with Cutler only to see him throw 5 INTs.
Will - Bears
Lauren - Bears

I'm hoping to be more consistent with the entries, maybe I'll even throw a second entry in next week if I'm feeling frisky...  

10/03/2009

NFL Week 4 Picks

Since I was in Pittsburgh this last weekend to help my dad finish his basement, I missed ALOT of football - and I'm not happy about it. Regardless, I still did better with the picks than I did in week 2. I know it's cheating, but I'm going to reset my record so that Lauren, Will and I all have the same number of games picked against. Without further ado, let's take a look at how we did.

Steelers (-4) at Bengals
I might be one of the few Steeler fans that isn't destroying paper towel dispensers at Sheetz (wait, that was just Jeff Reed, my mistake). I don't think they are in that much trouble even though they decided to take about 5 years off my life with two late collapses in a row. It finally comes out that the secondary is less than ordinary without Polamalu, he needs to come back soon.
Me (0-1)
Will (1-0)
Lauren (0-1)

Colts (+3) at Cardinals
You might have had to be certifiably insane, a die-hard, biased Cardinals fan (I'm looking at you Will), or just not know anything about football to lay points against Peyton Manning when he's playing a mediocre at best team... just saying. This game wasn't even close and probably could have been worse if Bob Sanders was on the field. Side note, how long can you stick with someone that's injured more than their healthy? I understand that he is one of the best safeties in the league and - like the Steelers and Polamalu - he makes the defense go from zero to stout just by stepping on the field, but when you're games played total reads 4, 15, 6, and 0 (this year) you have to think that the Colts need to start thinking about parting ways so that they can use that money to get someone that might not be as good, but will be much more reliable.
Me (1-1)
Will (1-1)
Lauren (0-2)

Falcons (+4) at Patriots
Picking against the Patriots in this situation - coming off a tough loss and playing at home - in the Brady-Belichick era is like picking Appalachian State over a powerhouse like Michigan... wait, bad example. Either way, Brady looked a little better and we're now seeing that the Falcons aren't nearly as good when Ryan has to throw more than usual. Also, I'm a little worried about the Patriots wide receiver situation without Wes Welker. It looks like he will play this week, but wow, they don't have much depth in many positions this year, do I dare question their ability to make the playoffs? Not yet, but if they get bitten at all by the injury bug, we could have a repeat of last year.
Me (2-1)
Will (1-2)
Lauren (1-2)

Redskins (-7) at Detroit
What does it say about the state of Redskins football that if it weren't for the Ravens/Browns game, I would have taken the Lions in my suicide pool over the Redskins (as in, taking the Lions straight up to win outright)? They have a front office that rivals the Lions and the Raiders, a head coach that thinks he's the best thing since sliced bread, and a bunch of overpayed players who mostly seem to be "signed and retired" (that's NBA speak for someone that signs a big contract and proceeds to mail it in until their next contract year). Big win for the Lions though, but I'm not sure if I allow my players to go out and celebrate like they just won the Superbowl. Especially since it is well documented that many of the players on last years team aren't around this year and that will only lead to an attitude of "we won a game, season's over."
Me (3-1)
Will (2-2)
Lauren (2-2)

Panthers (+9) at Cowboys
I should have never underestimated Jake Delhomme's ability to throw a pick 6 at the end of the game to graciously allow the Cowboys to cover the spread. Furthermore, after watching 3 quarters of this game Monday night on and off - including the pre-game introductions - I'm more convinced with my view that the new Cowboys stadium is a slap in the face to real NFL fans. The glamour and spectacle of Jerryworld is just a gigantic distraction from a lackluster on the field product.
Me (3-2)
Will (2-3)
Lauren (2-3)

Since the games will be on in about 30 minutes, I'm just going to post our picks for the week without going into detail - I hope the two people that will read this aren't too disappointed. 

Chargers (+7) at Steelers
me steelers
will chargers
lauren steelers

Ravens (+2) at Patriots
me ravens
will ravens
lauren patriots

Jets (+7) at Saints
me jets
will saints
lauren jets

Packers (+4) at Vikings
me vikings
will packers
lauren packers

Seahawks (+11) at Colts
me colts
will colts
lauren seahawks